The estimated size of the private debt market in Australia is $188 billion1 in assets under management (AUM), and this is projected to grow significantly. The Reserve Bank of Australia estimates there is around $40 billion in private credit outstanding in the country, equivalent to 2.5% of total business debt2. And globally, private credit AUM has surged, quadrupling over the past decade to USD $2.1 trillion3

This upward trend is echoed in our new survey, ‘A Pulse on Private Credit Investment in Australia 2025’ where we engaged senior leaders across ten global and national organisations directly involved in Australia’s private credit market. The survey provides valuable insights into the outlook of private credit in Australia now and over the next decade.

4

Global Private Capital Investors* 

5

National Private Capital Investors* 

1

Major Australian Bank

*Private Capital investors represented were both private credit fund managers and those with multi-asset class investment strategies

Outlook on Private Credit in Australia

Our survey reveals over 90% expect continued growth in private credit's share of the corporate debt market in the next decade in Australia and Asia, with 50% anticipating significant growth.

 

Role of private credit lending 

  • 64% said private credit is an important part of the debt economy and fills a lending gap for certain sectors that traditional financial institutions don’t necessarily want to service. 

  • 21% said private credit lending forms part of traditional financial institutions lending strategies. For example, as customers or as potential syndication targets.

 

Most attractive sectors among investors

Real estate and consumer sectors are considered
the most attractive in the next decade

 

Biggest barrier to private credit growth

Borrower perceptions of high lending costs is considered the top barrier to further private debt growth in Australia among investors.

 

Regulation of private credit market

Is it fit for purpose? 

  • 50% believe the current regulatory framework is fit for purpose, and 50% think some reform is needed.

  • None said significant reform was required. 

Of the half that said some reform is required, the top areas of reform identified were: 

  • licensing obligations 

  • conduct requirements 

  • capital requirements against lending activity 

 

Top benefits of private credit lending vs traditional lending

Top benefits of private credit lending

  • more flexible terms;

  • a greater willingness to accept risk;

  • quicker and easier lending processes; and

  • a willingness to lend to sectors not favoured by traditional lenders.

Top benefits of traditional lending:

  • lower interest rates

  • ancillary services (ie transactional banking, hedging), and

  • a relationship focused approach

 

The role of private credit in the energy transition

When asked if private credit lending will play an equal, if not greater, role in lending for renewable energy projects compared to traditional financial institutions:

  • 43% said it will play a greater role

  • 43% said private credit will play a significant role, however traditional financial institutions will

 


The number of private credit funds in Australia has grown significantly, increasing competition for new deals. Funds are adapting to this competition by diversifying their deal types, securing a steady pipeline of opportunities. We expect continued growth for credit funds as borrowers and sponsors recognise the advantages of private credit, such as flexible solutions and speed of execution, which were highlighted in our survey. Emphasising these benefits can help overcome perceptions of high lending costs and fuel sector growth.”

Martin McDonald
Partner

Footnotes

  1. Figure refers to as at the end of 2023; EY Annual Australian private debt market update for 2024
  2. Reserve Bank of Australia, Growth in Global Private Credit (October 2024)
  3. Figure refers to 2023 period; Reserve Bank of Australia, Growth in Global Private Credit (October 2024)

A Pulse on Private Credit Investment in Australia 2025

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